Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.063737 0.071959 0.080373 0.089597 0.099396 0.109468 0.120575
2025-07-27 0.052136 0.064542 0.077861 0.093085 0.109875 0.127709 0.147970
2025-08-03 0.042955 0.057699 0.074189 0.093681 0.115801 0.139865 0.167777
2025-08-10 0.036471 0.052775 0.071683 0.094670 0.121362 0.150943 0.185795
2025-08-17 0.030772 0.047979 0.068647 0.094439 0.125007 0.159435 0.200536
2025-08-24 0.024629 0.041866 0.063403 0.091039 0.124492 0.162781 0.209090
2025-08-31 0.019945 0.037057 0.059292 0.088585 0.124734 0.166705 0.218045
2025-09-07 0.017105 0.034398 0.057640 0.088929 0.128138 0.174175 0.230977
2025-09-14 0.015117 0.032706 0.057070 0.090488 0.132910 0.183179 0.245641
2025-09-21 0.014193 0.032481 0.058392 0.094418 0.140569 0.195613 0.264341
2025-09-28 0.012483 0.030830 0.057614 0.095506 0.144612 0.203649 0.277808
2025-10-05 0.012886 0.032606 0.061663 0.102988 0.156727 0.221489 0.302984
2025-10-12 0.010212 0.029107 0.058217 0.100644 0.156692 0.224963 0.311553
2025-10-19 0.009361 0.028671 0.059201 0.104309 0.164413 0.238047 0.331832
2025-10-26 0.007889 0.026877 0.058030 0.104936 0.168167 0.246228 0.346205
2025-11-02 0.006700 0.025414 0.057233 0.105990 0.172412 0.254979 0.361251
2025-11-09 0.005425 0.023510 0.055593 0.105744 0.174869 0.261447 0.373479
2025-11-16 0.003806 0.020393 0.051735 0.102116 0.172681 0.261961 0.378315
2025-11-23 0.002645 0.017924 0.048696 0.099495 0.171701 0.263896 0.384812
2025-11-30 0.002044 0.016728 0.047729 0.099862 0.174710 0.270865 0.397507
2025-12-07 0.001667 0.016066 0.047648 0.101528 0.179474 0.280072 0.412982
2025-12-14 0.001565 0.016312 0.049220 0.105721 0.187733 0.293789 0.434103
2025-12-21 0.001222 0.015535 0.048841 0.106881 0.191781 0.302079 0.448458